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Thursday, March 3, 2011

Fantasy Baseball Preview: 11-25

11. Troy Tulowitzki, SS - COL. The second-best shortstop in fantasy over the past two seasons joins Hanley Ramirez as the only two elite options at the position.

12. Evan Longoria, 3B - TB. Longoria is the top 3B in fantasy headed into 2011. While 22 HR in 2010 represents a down power year, he batted a career-high .294 with 46 doubles and added 15 steals. Bottom line, he's a much safer bet at the hot corner than Bautista or Beltre.

13. Matt Holliday, OF - STL. There's always some reason given for Matt Holliday's numbers. Either he's playing half his games at Coors Field (pre-humidor) or he's hitting in the Gehrig slot behind Albert Pujols. A lifetime .317 hitter, the only reason for Matt's success is that he's just that good.

14. Prince Fielder, 1B - MIL. Other than Pujols, Prince's will be the most talked about contract scenario this season. Milwaukee appears unable to sign Prince long term, but the composition of their roster says they're trying to make a World Series run this year. Barring an unlikely first-half collapse, expect Fielder to play the entire year with the Brewers, hoping to vault them into the postseason and himself into the salary stratosphere. It is worth noting that throughout his career, Prince has been good, then amazing, then good, then amazing again. Last year, he was good.

15. David Wright, 3B - NYM. In 2010, David saw his batting average slip below .300 for the first time since his rookie year. Though his .283 clip was buoyed by 29 HR and 103 RBI, that he struck out 161 times is a bit more of a concern. New management and a healthy lineup should re-energize David back to producing like he did from 2005-2008.

16. Ryan Howard, 1B - PHI. After averaging 49 HR over his first four full seasons, Ryan's 31 knocks in 2010 represent a stunning career low in 143 games. Owners chasing his 58-homer campaign in '06 should cease and desist, but a return to his mid-40's level of '07-'09 works in the mid-2nd Round.

17. Nelson Cruz, OF - TEX. The key stat for Nelson is games played. After a breakout '09 Nellie was striding into the outfield elite, but a nagging hamstring injury plagued his second half. The potential for a monster season is here.

18. Matt Kemp, OF - LAD. I'd always rather a player struggle because they're injured than struggle because they're struggling, but that's exactly what Matt did in 2010. After finding himself in the top echelon of OFs on Draft Day, Matt let his owners down by hitting .249 with a .760 OPS. His issues with Torre gone with Torre, Matt should be one of the more dynamic cleanup hitters in the National League.

19. Dan Uggla, 2B - ATL. Braves GM Frank Wren made the steal of the offseason landing Uggla, who gets to pull a Carl Crawford and stay in the division he knows while moving to a more consistent lineup. Dan has averaged 31 homers as a 2B over his 5-year career, but it's not that, or that he's done it playing in a football stadium that puts him inside the top 20. It's that he's averaged 155 games per season. Sure, he can be a batting average scare (.243 in '09) but .287 in '10 represents a career high, and when guys like Youkilis, Pedroia and Reyes aren't playing, they're a drag on every category.

20. Mark Teixeira, 1B - NYY. This is probably the year to own Teixeira. After all the wondering what he would do in his second year in that lineup, in that ballpark, Teixeira really missed the mark in 2010. His typical slow start was a non-start and he ended his World Series hangover looking at a .256 average. Now he says he spent all offseason in the cage as opposed to more weight training in previous years. Owners should expect a return to form and take him while his value is diminished.

21. Kevin Youkilis, 3B - BOS. Youkilis (pronounced You-kill-us) never takes a pitch off. His all-out style seems to cost him a few games or more per season, but his potential to hit .325/30/120 in a revamped BoSox lineup makes the reward outweigh the risk.

22. Jose Reyes, SS - NYM. 2011 could be big for Reyes, as he looks to bounce back following a down year for every Mets player not named Angel or Ike. His contract status and the Mets financial instability make his future in New York uncertain at this point, so he will be motivated to showcase his talents.

23. Joe Mauer, C - MIN. Just when Mauer found his pauer, the Twins moved to Target Field. Sounds like the end of a wicked good limerick. Though Joe didn't take to playing outside like his teammate Delmon Young, he's still the top catcher in fantasy. He's just one year removed from one of the all-time best years for a backstop (.365/28/96) and did hit .327 last year despite hitting just nine homers. If he gets even a droplet more comfortable at home, he'll be back in the first round headed into 2012.

24. Jose Bautista, 3B - TOR. If anyone was surprised by Bautista's monster-breakout season in 2010, it wasn't the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Bucos saw so much in Bautista that they drafted him out of junior college in 2000, reacquired him in 2004, then reacquired him a third time in 2005. They finally cut bait at age 28 during the '08 season, and after a lackluster '09 in Toronto, Jose came out of absolute nowhere (Pittsburgh) to lead the majors in homers by twelve lengths with 54. Even though there is no resume to back it up, his numbers in 2010 were too gaudy to justify taking Zimmerman ahead of him.

25. Ryan Zimmerman, 3B - WAS. Ryan Zimmerman can hit .300. Ryan Zimmerman can hit 30 out and knock in 110. One of these years, he's going to do all three. The addition of Jayson Werth helps his chances to do it in 2011.

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